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Microsoft can built on its hot start to 2023 with Azure deals and ChatGPT, Wedbush says

Microsoft stock is off to a great start in 2023, and analysts at Wedbush think there’s even more room to run.

The firm reiterated its ‘Outperform’ rating and raised its price target for Microsoft to $315 from $290 after the tech giant’s shares have already gained nearly 20% to start 2023. The stock traded at $286.45 as of Wednesday afternoon.

At the crux of Wedbush’s analysis is Microsoft Azure.

“Azure growth [is] stable and most deals [have been] green lighted,” analysts said. “...“We believe 90%+ of Azure/Office 365 large deal activity is still on track through our MSFT partner checks for the June quarter with modest push-outs and downsizing of major cloud projects seen in the field containable thus far.”

“Our thesis remains that the cloud and underlying Office 365/Windows ecosystem is going to comprise a bigger and bigger piece of Redmond going forward and will ultimately spur growth and margins (moderate cost cutting in motion as well) into FY23/FY24 despite this downturn.”

The analysts also pointed to ChatGPT as a future driver of revenue.

“We also believe Redmond is just starting to hit its next gear of growth with ChatGPT and AI also adding a new layer of growth to the MSFT story over the coming years,” analysts said. “[T]he next step [is] ChatGPT/AI monetization on both the consumer and enterprise fronts.

The Azure/Office 365 deals and the potential of ChatGPT are enough to add about $20 to Micosoft’s “sum-of-the-parts” valuation.

Contact Andrew Kessel at andrew.kessel@proactiveinvestors.com

Follow him on Twitter @andrew_kessel